Football·Premier League · O/U 2.5

Gameweek 34

Value band · 4–6 ppFixtures 21 Apr – 27 Apr3 flags · 10 fixtures

Value Selections

3 flags this week

Tue 21 AprWin

OVERgap: +4.1ppodds: 1.67

Model64.0%

Market59.9%

Conviction+3

Brighton

Chelsea

H2H

Wed 22 AprWin

OVERgap: +5.3ppodds: 1.75

Model62.4%

Market55.9%

Conviction+4

Bournemouth

Leeds

Sat 25 AprLoss

OVERgap: +4.4ppodds: 1.64

Model65.4%

Market61.0%

Conviction-1labels contradict flag

Arsenal

Newcastle

10 matches · click column to sort

Fixture↑	H-xG	A-xG	BTTS%	Model O2.5 Goals%	Market O2.5 Goals%	Gap	Flag
Brighton vs Chelsea OVER Tue 21 Apr O2.5 Goals%64.0% Gap+4.1pp H-xG A-xG BTTS64.9% Brighton Chelsea H2H			64.9%	64.0%	59.9%	+4.1pp	OVER
Bournemouth vs Leeds OVER Wed 22 Apr O2.5 Goals%62.4% Gap+5.3pp H-xG A-xG BTTS51.6% Bournemouth Leeds			51.6%	62.4%	55.9%	+5.3pp	OVER
Arsenal vs Newcastle OVER Sat 25 Apr O2.5 Goals%65.4% Gap+4.4pp H-xG A-xG BTTS63.4% Arsenal Newcastle			63.4%	65.4%	61.0%	+4.4pp	OVER
Burnley vs Man City Wed 22 Apr O2.5 Goals%77.9% Gap+3.8pp H-xG A-xG BTTS63.5% Burnley Man City			63.5%	77.9%	74.1%	+3.8pp	—
Sunderland vs Nott'm Forest Fri 24 Apr O2.5 Goals%0.0% Gap+0.0pp H-xG— A-xG— BTTS— Nott'm Forest	—	—	—	0.0%	46.7%	+0.0pp	—
Fulham vs Aston Villa Sat 25 Apr O2.5 Goals%57.9% Gap+1.1pp H-xG A-xG BTTS60.5% Fulham Aston Villa			60.5%	57.9%	56.8%	+1.1pp	—
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace Sat 25 Apr O2.5 Goals%87.0% Gap+23.3pp H-xG A-xG BTTS83.3% Liverpool Crystal Palace H2H			83.3%	87.0%	63.7%	+23.3pp	—
West Ham vs Everton Sat 25 Apr O2.5 Goals%41.9% Gap-12.7pp H-xG A-xG BTTS46.1% West Ham Everton H2H			46.1%	41.9%	54.6%	-12.7pp	—
Wolves vs Tottenham Sat 25 Apr O2.5 Goals%57.6% Gap+2.0pp H-xG A-xG BTTS56.5% Wolves Tottenham H2H			56.5%	57.6%	55.6%	+2.0pp	—
Man United vs Brentford Mon 27 Apr O2.5 Goals%65.2% Gap+2.7pp H-xG A-xG BTTS63.9% Man United Brentford H2H			63.9%	65.2%	62.5%	+2.7pp	—